Don’t Panic- But This Yield Curve Matters
The yield spread between the 3 month and 10 year fell below zero, this is not only the first time this has happened in the last 10 years, but more importantly this particular metric has predicted the last seven recessions in the USA.
Don’t panic yet–in the past it has taken up to two years before the start of a recession.
This chart is from January 2019 and doesn’t show the yield curve inversion that just happened on Friday (March 22nd, 2019).
Sources: Bloomberg & Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Bloomberg article (Jan 2nd)
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-01-02/yield-curve-tells-the-federal-reserve-to-hold-on-rates
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Disclaimer: This post is for informational and entertainment purposes only— it is not financial advice or is in anyway intended to provide any financial recommendation.
“Green-Eco-EV News Reporting by Ken Burridge”
Independent green journalist, EV of the Year Judge, photographer, author and sustainability activist that has published over 1000 articles. Mr Burridge’s travels have taken him to over 40 countries and 300+ major cities. He is originally from the USA, but has been residing in Australia for the last seven years. Connect to Ken Burridge on: Twitter, steemit, facebook, Google+, Linked in or website
