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The yield spread between the 3 month and 10 year fell below zero, this is not only the first time this has happened in the last 10 years, but more importantly this particular metric has predicted the last seven recessions in the USA. Don’t panic yet–in the past it has taken up to two years [Continue]
As of Friday March 22nd the spread between the 3-month and 10-year USA Treasury notes has INVERTED. Inverted yield curves happen when short-term yields are higher than other longer-term options. Historically in the USA (like better than 9 times out of ten) whenever the 3-month and 10-year yield curve inverts a recession has followed in [Continue]
Both fast and slow versions of shipping global goods give a strong hint of a global economic slowdown. These facts are contrary to the general economic message being spread from mainstream corporate media and even Donald Trump (everything is fine-the economy is good and getting better). Even though the shipping industry may be struggling slightly, [Continue]